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trippi. as we do every week we look at the electoral map. info on the key. red states are romney states. blue, obama. then the pinkish lean romney. light blue, lean obama. then the yellow states are tossup states. within the margin of error. this is all based on the polls within the last 30 days. okay, karl, what has changed in the last week since we talked? >> we had 46 polls last week in 22 states. four states moved toward president obama and changed status. iowa, ohio, nevada, all battleground states moved from tossup to lean obama. montana moved from romney to lean romney. there were 11 other states then moved toward obama but had no change in status. there were five states that moved toward governor romney. but again had no change in status. >> joe, of those, what is most important? >> i mean the biggest thing is that shift in nevada and ohio. those two in particular. ohio, obviously, a big move. moving it to lean obama, it puts for the first time, i think since we started back in april, it puts obama with over the 270 electoral votes. we had that back then. it's coming clear today
is venturing out of the swing states today. romney is in pennsylvania trying to pluck that state from the grasp of president barack obama. 39 days until the election. pennsylvania is one of the states that is leaning toward the president, but romney is predicting an upset. >> i've got a little secret here, that is that obama campaign thinks that pennsylvania is in their pocket. they don't need to worry about it. and you're right and they're wrong. we're going to win pennsylvania, we're going to take the white house. >> well, wolf blitzer with us now. so, you know, from washington, wolf, we have seen romney confine his campaign to the nine battleground states. why is he now taking a shot at this state, pennsylvania, which clearly seems to be leaning obama? >> according to the public polls, obama is doing really well in pennsylvania. maybe he's got some private polls that he's doing inside his campaign that shows some other trends developing in pennsylvania. i haven't seen any public polls that would indicate he's got a shot in pennsylvania. i also haven't seen any indication that the romney camp
of the nine swing states. journal marist poll showing romney trailing the president by 7 points in new hampshire. romney trailing obama by two points in north carolina, that's within the margin of error. and same in nevada, two-point spread for the president. that's within the margin of error. so none of those polls really urge shattering, but certainly showing that president obama is -- has an advantage in these swing states. >> yeah. you know, the one that is i little surprising to me is north carolina. i would have thought romney would be doing better. the president, he carried north carolina the last time, but by a tiny, tiny margin. so that's a little surprising that even though it is within the margin of error, 48/46, he's still ahead in north carolina right now. if romney can't win north carolina, he's going to be in deep, deep trouble because that's a state, i assumed was going to be going for the republican candidate this time. maybe, you know, holding the democratic convention in charlotte energized that democratic base in north carolina. maybe that will rereally help them. i
, that it's a state that is very accessible to mitt romney, a state of that obama could hold him and he holds all six of the states in the rust belt midwest area combined with only four electoral states short of victory. so critical for the romney strategy to hold a state of ohio. that's not happening at this point. at this point obama is probably up to about a four or five-point lead in the state. if you look at some the data they're on the bottom you see that the worst group for obama in 2008 was the white working-class. is hope is that he would be able to expand at margin quite a bit. that's really what romney's strategy is about. you wouldn't think it would be that hard itself. it's been hard hit economically and a lot of ticked off factory workers by giving it would've been an ideal place in which to sort of cell the romney rant. that doesn't turn out to be the case. at this point when you look at polls, the new breakouts, romney is not anywhere close to driving off that margin among white working-class voters. he is at best a few points better than mccain ran in 2008. and he is do
to be the focal upon the selection. it is a state that was believed to be very accessible for mitt romney, a state that obama could hold. if he holds all six of the states in the west govern the area he is only four electoral votes short of victory. so critical for the strategy to hold the state of ohio. now, that's not happening at this point. at this point obama is broadly after a 45-point lead in the state. a few buckets of the data on the bottom you see that the worst thing for obama in 2008 was the white working-class. lost by ten points. it's up was that he would be able to expand that parging quite a bit. you wouldn't think it would have been that hard a sell. somewhat culturally conservative levels. among the hard-hit economic area. a lot of ticked off factory workers. you think it would have been an ideal place in which to sell the brand. that does not turn out to be the case. at this point we look at polls the breakout, white college and on college voters. robbie is not anywhere close to driving of that margin among working-class voters. he is, in fact, at best a few points better than w
it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take the state. colorado has been fairly close so again obama mabey looks like a fairy or four-point lead on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not doing much better among the white working-class voters according to the polls i've seen. he's made some progress on the outside margin that obama got 14 points in 2008 among the college graduate voters but he's not making nearly enough voters to take the state and if you break it down geographically the denver metro area is about half the vote in the state but that looks very similar in the polling data as it did in 2008. finally, the poster child for demographic change in the united states and how it's been shifted pretty rapidly over time as the great state of nevada. obama is running ahead of though not nearly as far as he di
. earlier this month a cnn poll found governor romney leads president obama among likely independent voters by a substantial 14 points. 54%, look at this, to 40%. he also leads among independents in critical swing states like ohio and florida, and yet, "u.s. news & world report" points out there has been almost no mention of it in the media. i wonder why? >> well, i think what you are starting to see is that independents are largely part of the 60% of americans that think this country is off on the wrong track and right now that they are giving a stark contrast to what this election presents in terms of more government centered country or a free enterprise system that governor romney offers, one that rewards innovation and entrepreneurship. but the bigger thing that you also see in the numbers is, in eight of 12 battleground states the democrats really lost a lot of voter registration. when you look at battle ground states, in 2008, president obama won state like wisconsin by 14 points, nevada by 13. new hampshire and iowa 10 respectively. colorado by nine. all the battleground states are d
in the swing state of nevada getting ready for the first face off with governor romney on wednesday night, the first debate. the president telling a crowd in las vegas he's just okay at he debating. chief white house correspondent ed henry is live in las vegas. the administration is sending mixed messages on libya. tell us more about that. >> that confusion started on the sunday talk show circuit a couple of weeks back when ambassador susan rice did several of the shows and did not declare this was a terror attack, insisted it was a spontaneous reaction to the anti-muslim film. i've spoken to u.s. senior officials that stand behind the fact that they insist in the early days of this susan rice was correct, that was the assessment of the intelligence community. beefewe've also got information from sources that within 24 hours, the intelligence community within 24 hours of the attack new it was terrorism. more days have passed and back on the sunday show talk show circuit you have one obama adviser saying they did use the word terror the day after the attack, you had another adviser say, wa
. governor romney had said at i have an opportunity to save the state a lot of money, because if we did not take the federal money, it would have gone away, we would not have access to it anymore. with health care reform, we are able to accept this large sum of money and free some of the cost of providing care for people who don't have health insurance. host: we're learning about the health care law that governor romney signed into law in massachusetts with the reports from the boston herald christine mcconvillechristine. she's been with the herald five years. she also reported for the boston globe before that. we have a phone line set up especially for massachusetts residents. and republicans and democrats can call us as well as independent scholars. -- callers. let's look at some details of how the health care law has played out. 98% of adults are now covered. nearly 100% of children are covered. insurance premiums have about $70.veby take us through how this plan has worked out. guest: most people would tell you the effort to get people insured has worked out astoundingly well. the s
is responsible is the attorney general of the united states. congress ryan, mitt romney, and congress is correct it's time for eric holder to go. there is only five weeks between thousand and the election. there is political consequences and there is real consequences here. even the inspector general's report did not absolve eric holder as he claims it did. he still should have known what was going on with such a massive operation. martha: it did show he didn't know. you are saying that isn't enough. i get that. but there is no indication that the administration has any intention of changing their attorney general, jay. >> that right. i think that's the political reality of the situation. that's why congressman issa has moved for contempt proceedings against attorney general holder. politically the president of the youth is not going to want to make a move at the department of justice which will look like a sign of weakness. we have a dead border patrol agent at the hands our own weapons. we have 16 mexican teenagers killed at hands our weapons in mexico with no knowledge of the mexican governme
for the policy makers in the united states to put the fiscal cliff ahead of politics. in texas, a democratic caller, henry. caller: good morning. romney is about a year-and-a- half older than i am. i remember in the 1960's they were drafting everybody like crazy. from what i've understand, he went on the religious sabbatical and took a religious draft exemption. back then that was a conscientious objector status in the 1960's when they were drafting everybody to go to vietnam. that was before the lottery system. it was basically the old system. i feel like to the core of romney, he is two-faced. host: what does this have to do with the role of the united nations? caller: if he does not have the guts to stand up for this country, what makes you think he would be suitable to be president of the united states? host: here's thomas on the line. caller: i think the u.n. is doing a decent job. it is an enormous task they are undertaking. the bigger problem is our relationship with israel. we let them dictate to us on everything. the republicans are lining because obama will not meet with benjamin n
believe that government has a responsibility to care for them? >> of course not. i agree with mitt romney when he says his comments were poorly phrased. keefe said they were in elegantly stated. i think there is a difference. part of the philosophy of president obama is trying to get as many americans as possible dependent on government so that the democrats can stay in power in perpetuity. the reason i think that is failing is, even those americans, if you break down that 47%, there is a significant chunk of people, receiving social security, who have paid into it their entire life. that is very different from being dependent on welfare. that is a critical safety net our society has counted on that we need to insure remain strong for generations to come. even those who are receiving welfare right now, most americans do not want to stay dependent on government. they want to work for the american dream. they want to work to provide for themselves and their families. i think that is why the obama administration's objective is essentially using bread and circuses to make as many people as po
Search Results 0 to 13 of about 14 (some duplicates have been removed)

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